Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
