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Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 20, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
CL

Southampton
1 - 1
Chelsea

Minamino (33')
McCarthy (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mount (54' pen.)
Alonso (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawChelsea
22.55%23.9%53.55%
Both teams to score 52.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53%48.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4%70.6%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.05%35.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.27%72.72%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97%18.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09%48.91%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 22.55%
    Chelsea 53.55%
    Draw 23.89%
SouthamptonDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 6.63%
2-1 @ 5.81%
2-0 @ 3.39%
3-1 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 22.55%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.48%
2-2 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 11.1%
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-2 @ 9.51%
1-3 @ 5.56%
0-3 @ 5.43%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 2.38%
0-4 @ 2.33%
2-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 53.55%

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