Southampton
1 - 1
Chelsea

Minamino (33')
McCarthy (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mount (54' pen.)
Alonso (80')

Build‑up

Thomas Tuchel vows to ignore price tags at Chelsea

Thomas Tuchel criticises Hudson-Odoi's attitude after Southampton draw

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Chelsea
22.55%	23.9%	53.55%

Both teams to score 52.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.53%

48.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.4%

70.6%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.05%

35.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.27%

72.72%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.97%

18.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.09%

48.91%

Score Analysis

Southampton 22.55%

Chelsea 53.55%

Draw 23.89%

Southampton	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 6.63% 2-1 @ 5.81% 2-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.88% Total : 22.55%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.89%	0-1 @ 11.1% 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-2 @ 9.51% 1-3 @ 5.56% 0-3 @ 5.43% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.33% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.45% Total : 53.55%