Premier League | Gameweek 9

Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Brighton

Konsa (47')
Targett (44'), Grealish (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Welbeck (12'), March (56')
Bissouma (69'), Lamptey (88')
Lamptey (90+1')

Graham Potter lavishes praise on Danny Welbeck after first goal

Dean Smith furious after Villa denied late penalty in Brighton loss

The Match

Match Report

The former Manchester United and Arsenal striker scored his first goal for the Seagulls.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and form guide.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
35.94%	26.72%	37.33%

Both teams to score 51.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.74%

53.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19%

74.8%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56%

28.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.8%

64.19%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38%

27.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85%

63.15%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 35.94%

Brighton & Hove Albion 37.32%

Draw 26.72%

Aston Villa	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 7.99% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.94%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.32%