Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
