SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Fulham |
39.72% ( -0.71) | 23.83% ( 0.05) | 36.44% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 62.03% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.89% ( -0.18) | 40.11% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.52% ( -0.18) | 62.48% ( 0.19) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( -0.41) | 20.43% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.12% ( -0.65) | 52.88% ( 0.65) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( 0.26) | 22.04% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.63% ( 0.39) | 55.37% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Fulham |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.96% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.44% |
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