SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Fulham |
55.18% ( 2.04) | 22.98% ( -1.01) | 21.84% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( 1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.66% ( 3.17) | 45.34% ( -3.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.32% ( 2.96) | 67.68% ( -2.95) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( 1.9) | 16.3% ( -1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.13% ( 3.33) | 45.87% ( -3.33) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( 0.8) | 34.86% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.4% ( 0.83) | 71.6% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.75) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.44)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.29)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.21)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.18)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.32% Total : 55.17% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.54) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.81)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.7) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.84% |
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