SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Leicester City |
38.33% ( 0.02) | 24.94% | 36.72% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% ( -0.01) | 45.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.26% ( -0.01) | 67.73% ( 0) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( 0.01) | 23.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% ( 0.01) | 57.44% ( -0.02) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( -0.02) | 24.3% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.32% ( -0.02) | 58.67% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 6% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)2-4 @ 1% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.72% |
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