Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
