SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Leicester City |
| 35.11% | 24.73% | 40.16% |
| Both teams to score 58.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.42% | 44.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.06% | 66.94% |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% | 24.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.61% | 59.39% |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% | 22.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.45% | 55.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% 1-0 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.11% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.72% | 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-1 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.4% Total : 40.16% |
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