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Premier League | Gameweek 21
May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
NL

Leicester
3 - 0
Norwich

Vardy (54', 62'), Maddison (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 1-0 Norwich City

Leicester will again be missing a number of important players, but Norwich have selection issues of their own, and we are expecting the Foxes to pick up another three points, albeit by the narrowest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
66.05% (-3.512 -3.51) 20.6% (1.6 1.6) 13.35% (1.907 1.91)
Both teams to score 45.28% (0.671 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (-2.246 -2.25)49.03% (2.241 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.88% (-2.065 -2.07)71.11% (2.061 2.06)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (-1.715 -1.72)14.01% (1.71 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.46% (-3.474 -3.47)41.54% (3.469 3.47)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.66% (1.793 1.79)47.34% (-1.796 -1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25% (1.306 1.31)82.74% (-1.31 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 66.04%
    Norwich City 13.35%
    Draw 20.6%
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 12.81% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 8.39% (-0.878 -0.88)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.311 -0.31)
4-0 @ 4.13% (-0.734 -0.73)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.367 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% (-0.415 -0.42)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 66.04%
1-1 @ 9.75% (0.748 0.75)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.588 0.59)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.6%
0-1 @ 4.96% (0.665 0.67)
1-2 @ 3.64% (0.447 0.45)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 13.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Everton
Sunday, May 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Leicester
Thursday, May 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Leicester
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 1-1 Roma
Thursday, April 28 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Leicester 0-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Leicester
Wednesday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Norwich 0-4 West Ham
Sunday, May 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Norwich 0-3 Newcastle
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Norwich
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Burnley
Sunday, April 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Premier League


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