Draws are no good for Norwich at this stage of the season, but Newcastle are difficult to back against at the moment due to their strong form. That said, the Canaries were impressive at Old Trafford, and we are expecting the two teams to share the spoils in a low-scoring draw at Carrow Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Newcastle United
32.14%	26.77%	41.1%

Both teams to score 50.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.99%

54.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.55%

75.45%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74%

31.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.39%

67.61%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.12%

25.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.14%

60.86%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 32.14%

Newcastle United 41.09%

Draw 26.76%

Norwich City	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.14%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 10.93% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 7.39% 1-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.09%