This looks set to be an entertaining encounter at the King Power Stadium on Sunday, with both sides opting for expansive styles and struggling to keep clean sheets. As a result, goals should be expected at both ends of the pitch, but we can see the hosts coming out on top as they look to continue their improved finish to the campaign, and pile further misery on the visitors' dreadful run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Southampton
57.29% ( 0.24)	21.49% ( -0.16)	21.22% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 58.7% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.61% (

0.62)

39.38% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.27% (

0.65)

61.72% (

-0.65)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.42% (

0.28)

13.57% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.32% (

0.56)

40.68% (

-0.56)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.92% (

0.27)

32.08% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.45% (

0.31)

68.55% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 57.29%

Southampton 21.22%

Draw 21.49%

Leicester City	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.46% Total : 57.29%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.49%	1-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 21.22%