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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
King Power Stadium
SL

Leicester
4 - 1
Southampton

Maddison (49'), Vardy (74'), Perez (81', 90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ward-Prowse (79' pen.)
Romeu (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 2-1 Southampton

This looks set to be an entertaining encounter at the King Power Stadium on Sunday, with both sides opting for expansive styles and struggling to keep clean sheets. As a result, goals should be expected at both ends of the pitch, but we can see the hosts coming out on top as they look to continue their improved finish to the campaign, and pile further misery on the visitors' dreadful run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
57.29% (0.245 0.24) 21.49% (-0.157 -0.16) 21.22% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.7% (0.424 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.61% (0.62 0.62)39.38% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.27% (0.646 0.65)61.72% (-0.646 -0.65)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (0.277 0.28)13.57% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.32% (0.555 0.56)40.68% (-0.556 -0.56)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92% (0.27199999999999 0.27)32.08% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45% (0.308 0.31)68.55% (-0.309 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 57.29%
    Southampton 21.22%
    Draw 21.49%
Leicester CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.05 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 57.29%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Leicester
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 1-5 Leicester
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 3-0 Norwich
Wednesday, May 11 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Everton
Sunday, May 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Leicester
Thursday, May 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Leicester
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Liverpool
Tuesday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-0 Southampton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-2 Southampton
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Southampton
Thursday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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