The European fatigue has not been particularly kind to Leicester in recent weeks, and with Rodgers potentially shuffling the pack ahead of Thursday night, Villa can feel somewhat optimistic about the prospect of ending their losing run. Leicester seldom give much away in front of their own fans, though, and with the Foxes desperate to enter their European semi-final on a high note, we expect Rodgers's men to emerge victorious and prolong Gerrard's misery. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Aston Villa
45.23%	25.02%	29.75%

Both teams to score 55.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.34%

47.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.15%

69.85%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9%

21.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07%

53.93%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32%

29.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.26%

65.74%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 45.23%

Aston Villa 29.75%

Draw 25.01%

Leicester City	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.57% Total : 45.23%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.01%	0-1 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.75%