Fans and neutrals alike should not expect sparks to fly at Vicarage Road, with already-relegated Watford dealing with a raft of absentees and Leicester likely to rotate their resources a tad too. The Hornets held out well against Everton, but Leicester have plenty of well-rested attacking stars ready to make an impact and will endeavour to scrape a vital win to keep a top-half spot in their own control. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Watford had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Leicester City
25.61% ( -0.17)	24.66% ( -0.02)	49.72% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 53.46% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.16% (

-0.05)

48.83% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.06% (

-0.05)

70.93% (

0.04)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.55% (

-0.17)

33.45% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.92% (

-0.18)

70.08% (

0.17)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

0.05)

19.66% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.35% (

0.09)

51.64% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Watford 25.61%

Leicester City 49.72%

Draw 24.66%

Watford	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 25.61%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.72%