Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
