Southampton
0 - 1
Man City

Romeu (38'), Ward-Prowse (42')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sterling (16')
De Bruyne (25'), Ederson (81')

Build‑up

Pep Guardiola: 'Southampton win is incredibly important'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Manchester City
16.02%	19.4%	64.58%

Both teams to score 56.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.85%

38.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.58%

60.41%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.12%

36.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.33%

73.66%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.86%

11.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.42%

35.57%

Score Analysis

Southampton 16.02%

Manchester City 64.58%

Draw 19.4%

Southampton	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 4.49% 1-0 @ 4.1% 2-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.27% Total : 16.02%	1-1 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.92% 0-0 @ 4.11% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.4%	0-2 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 9.01% 0-3 @ 7.24% 1-3 @ 7.22% 0-4 @ 3.97% 1-4 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 3.6% 2-4 @ 1.98% 0-5 @ 1.75% 1-5 @ 1.74% Other @ 4.34% Total : 64.58%