Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
