Premier League | Gameweek 13

Dec 16, 2020 at 6pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
1 - 1
Southampton

Aubameyang (52')
Ceballos (44'), Magalhaes (58')
Magalhaes (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Walcott (18')
Bednarek (26'), Bertrand (33'), Ings (83')

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Arteta hopes goal against Southampton "unlocks" Aubameyang

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Arteta pleased with Arsenal response against Southampton

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Southampton
51.55%	23.05%	25.4%

Both teams to score 58.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.06%

41.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.66%

64.34%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.64%

16.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.03%

45.96%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.07%

29.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.96%

66.04%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 51.55%

Southampton 25.4%

Draw 23.05%

Arsenal	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.38% Total : 51.55%	1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.05%	1-2 @ 6.45% 0-1 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.12% Total : 25.4%