SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 16.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 65.38% | 18.43% ( 0.05) | 16.19% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.93% ( -0.35) | 33.07% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.19% ( -0.41) | 54.81% ( 0.41) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.49% ( -0.09) | 9.51% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.12% ( -0.23) | 31.88% ( 0.23) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( -0.28) | 33.49% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.88% ( -0.31) | 70.12% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.71% Total : 65.38% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.43% | 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 16.19% |
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