SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Arsenal |
35.24% ( -0.07) | 23.47% ( 0.08) | 41.3% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.2% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.5% ( -0.43) | 38.5% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.21% ( -0.45) | 60.79% ( 0.45) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( -0.24) | 21.93% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.79% ( -0.36) | 55.21% ( 0.35) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( -0.19) | 19.04% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.38% ( -0.31) | 50.62% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.24% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 41.3% |
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