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Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
LL

Atalanta
0 - 1
Liverpool


Hien (43'), Koopmeiners (77'), Zappacosta (90+1'), Zappacosta (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Salah (7' pen.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLiverpool
43.24% (0.858 0.86) 23.57% (-0.14 -0.14) 33.2% (-0.72 -0.72)
Both teams to score 62.22% (0.264 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.47% (0.45 0.45)39.53% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.12% (0.468 0.47)61.88% (-0.47 -0.47)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.36% (0.55 0.55)18.63% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.05% (0.91699999999999 0.92)49.94% (-0.919 -0.92)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47% (-0.194 -0.19)23.53% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43% (-0.282 -0.28)57.57% (0.28 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 43.24%
    Liverpool 33.2%
    Draw 23.56%
Atalanta BCDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.37% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.129 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.09 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 43.24%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.38% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.2%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Atalanta 2-2 Hellas Verona
Monday, April 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Liverpool 0-3 Atalanta
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Atalanta
Sunday, April 7 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Napoli 0-3 Atalanta
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-3 Atalanta
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Liverpool
Sunday, April 7 at 3.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Sheff Utd
Thursday, April 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Brighton
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 4-3 Liverpool
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in FA Cup


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