Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 76.83%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City in this match.
