SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Porto had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.16%) and 2-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Porto win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Manchester City |
| 37.46% | 20.64% | 41.89% |
| Both teams to score 74.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.35% | 23.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.87% | 43.13% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.74% | 14.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.97% | 42.02% |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.29% | 12.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.08% | 38.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.09% 3-2 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 4.6% 1-0 @ 3.53% 2-0 @ 3.44% 4-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 2.23% 4-3 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.09% 5-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.69% Total : 37.46% | 2-2 @ 7.31% 1-1 @ 7.28% 3-3 @ 3.27% 0-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.64% | 1-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 5.16% 2-3 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 3.85% 0-1 @ 3.74% 1-4 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 2.6% 3-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.37% 1-5 @ 1.1% 2-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.47% Total : 41.89% |
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