Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Porto had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.16%) and 2-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Porto win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
