Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
