Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
