Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 78.41%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 8.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
