We said: Manchester City 2-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Scoring goals has been a major issue for this Wolves team in recent weeks, but they will hope to see their new-found defensive solidity come to the fore against a City side dealing with a number of attacking absentees.
However, many of Guardiola's big-hitters are well-rested and need no added incentive to get the job done and hold their position at the top, so we expect a professional performance and victory for the home side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 80.11%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 6.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.94%) and 1-0 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
