Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 11.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.21%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-0 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
