Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 83.45%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 5.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.11%) and 4-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.36%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
