We said: Watford 1-3 Manchester City
Watford deserve immense credit for the way they took the game to Chelsea amid the difficult circumstances, but a lack of defensive discipline could cost them dear once again.
City's attacking line has been bolstered by the returns of Foden and Grealish, and with Guardiola's side developing a ruthless streak away from home, we do not expect any surprises at Vicarage Road.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.56%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Watford had a probability of 9.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 0-3 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
