Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
