Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 2, 2021 at 8pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
2 - 2
Man Utd

Ilicic (12'), Zapata (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ronaldo (45+1', 90+1')
McTominay (51')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 19.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Manchester United
19.93%	26.94%	53.13%

Both teams to score 40.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.93%

62.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.21%

81.79%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.54%

46.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.92%

82.08%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.33%

23.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.22%

57.77%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 19.93%

Manchester United 53.11%

Draw 26.93%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 4.66% 2-0 @ 3.23% 3-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.93%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 3.36% Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 15.84% 0-2 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-3 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 4.2% 0-4 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.61% 1-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.32% Total : 53.11%