Man Utd
3 - 2
Atalanta

Rashford (53'), Maguire (75'), Ronaldo (81')
Shaw (64'), Matic (90+3'), Cavani (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pasalic (15'), Demiral (29')
Lovato (55'), Pasalic (57'), de Roon (57'), Luis Palomino (80')

Build‑up

Solskjaer demands 'respect' for players after Atalanta comeback

Scholes slams Solskjaer tactics after Atalanta comeback

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Atalanta BC
45.03%	28.4%	26.57%

Both teams to score 43.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.01%

61.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.27%

81.73%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.47%

27.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.96%

63.04%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.16%

39.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.5%

76.5%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 45.02%

Atalanta BC 26.57%

Draw 28.4%

Manchester United	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 14.14% 2-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 8.4% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.73% Total : 45.02%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.4%	0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.4% Total : 26.57%