SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 55.94%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | West Ham United |
55.94% ( -0.16) | 20.98% ( 0.07) | 23.07% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 63.27% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.41% ( -0.21) | 34.58% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.48% ( -0.23) | 56.52% ( 0.23) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% ( -0.11) | 12.4% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.71% ( -0.24) | 38.28% ( 0.23) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( -0.04) | 27.77% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% ( -0.06) | 63.34% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 55.94% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.98% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 23.07% |
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