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MU
Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 14, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Old Trafford
SL

Man Utd
2 - 2
Spurs

Hojlund (3'), Rashford (40')
Wan-Bissaka (24'), Hojlund (45+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Richarlison (19'), Bentancur (46')
Bentancur (25')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 3-1 (5.69%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawTottenham Hotspur
46.45% (-0.288 -0.29) 21.9% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 31.65% (0.272 0.27)
Both teams to score 67.83% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.09% (0.073999999999998 0.07)31.91% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.54% (0.087999999999994 0.09)53.46% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)14.43% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.65% (-0.133 -0.13)42.35% (0.13 0.13)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (0.185 0.19)20.73% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (0.292 0.29)53.36% (-0.297 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 46.45%
    Tottenham Hotspur 31.65%
    Draw 21.9%
Manchester UnitedDrawTottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.69% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.61% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.48%
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 46.45%
1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.94% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.35% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 21.9%
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.02 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Wigan 0-2 Man Utd
Monday, January 8 at 8.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Man Utd
Saturday, December 30 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Aston Villa
Tuesday, December 26 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Man Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Man Utd
Sunday, December 17 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Burnley
Friday, January 5 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Bournemouth
Sunday, December 31 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Spurs
Thursday, December 28 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Everton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-2 Spurs
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 4-1 Newcastle
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Premier League


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