SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a West Ham United win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | West Ham United |
54.6% ( -0.88) | 23.39% ( 0.21) | 22.01% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 53.42% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% ( -0.12) | 46.92% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% ( -0.11) | 69.17% ( 0.11) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% ( -0.35) | 17.07% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.75% ( -0.63) | 47.25% ( 0.63) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.42% ( 0.58) | 35.58% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.65% ( 0.6) | 72.35% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | West Ham United |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.96% Total : 54.59% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.39% | 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.92% Total : 22.01% |
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