SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Manchester United |
31.55% ( 0.68) | 24.57% ( 0.46) | 43.87% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.94% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.14% ( -1.81) | 44.85% ( 1.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.79% ( -1.77) | 67.21% ( 1.77) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( -0.45) | 27.08% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( -0.59) | 62.46% ( 0.6) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( -1.23) | 20.54% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.94% ( -1.99) | 53.06% ( 2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.47)2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.42)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.79% Total : 43.87% |
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