Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Aston Villa |
41.56% (![]() | 22.96% (![]() | 35.48% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.07% (![]() | 35.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.98% (![]() | 58.02% (![]() |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.14% (![]() | 17.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.37% (![]() | 48.63% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.37% (![]() | 20.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.8% (![]() | 53.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 8.63% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 3.94% Total : 41.56% | 1-1 @ 10.02% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 7.91% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3% Total : 35.48% |
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