Premier League | Gameweek 33

Jul 4, 2020 at 12.30pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
0 - 1
Brighton

Lewis (38'), Cantwell (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Trossard (25')
Lamptey (88'), Gross (89')

Kenny McLean urges Norwich to show pride despite accepting relegation

Graham Potter backs Daniel Farke and Norwich to bounce back from relegation

Daniel Farke accepts Norwich relegation following Brighton defeat

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
32.13%	25.61%	42.25%

Both teams to score 54.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.73%

49.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.68%

71.32%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.11%

28.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.24%

64.75%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.82%

23.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.94%

57.06%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 32.13%

Brighton & Hove Albion 42.25%

Draw 25.61%

Norwich City	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 8.31% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 5.16% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.13%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.25%