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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2021 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
WL

Norwich
1 - 3
Watford

Pukki (35')
Williams (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dennis (17'), Sarr (63', 80')
Cathcart (37')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawWatford
44.2%26.39%29.41%
Both teams to score 50.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.51%53.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.99%75.01%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93%24.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64%58.36%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.07%32.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.49%69.52%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 44.2%
    Watford 29.41%
    Draw 26.39%
Norwich CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 8.93%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.2%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.81%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 29.41%

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