Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
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