Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
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