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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
London Stadium
NF

West Ham
3 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Paqueta (3'), Bowen (65'), Soucek (88')
Coufal (22'), Kudus (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Awoniyi (44'), Elanga (63')
Niakhate (54'), Elanga (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 63.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 15.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
63.47% (0.703 0.7) 20.8% (-0.349 -0.35) 15.72% (-0.354 -0.35)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.342 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (0.868 0.87)45.14% (-0.867 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (0.829 0.83)67.49% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44% (0.489 0.49)13.56% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.35% (0.96899999999999 0.97)40.65% (-0.97 -0.97)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.45% (0.067 0.07)41.55% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (0.061 0.06)78.04% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 63.46%
    Nottingham Forest 15.73%
    Draw 20.8%
West Ham UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-0 @ 11.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.74% (0.127 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.29% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 63.46%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.8%
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.17% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 15.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 1-0 Olympiacos
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Brentford 3-2 West Ham
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 0-1 Everton
Sunday, October 29 at 1pm in Premier League
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-1 West Ham
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-1 West Ham
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Luton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Brentford
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League


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