SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
56.21% ( 0.32) | 24.23% ( -0.15) | 19.56% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.83% ( 0.34) | 53.17% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.26% ( 0.28) | 74.74% ( -0.28) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( 0.25) | 18.79% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.8% ( 0.41) | 50.2% ( -0.41) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.33% ( -0) | 41.67% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.85% ( -0) | 78.15% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 56.21% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.56% |
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