Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.