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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Anfield
WH

Liverpool
5 - 1
West Ham

Jota (25', 49'), Salah (74'), Gakpo (90', 90+3')
Quansah (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Quansah (21' og.)
Lopetegui (64'), Paqueta (70'), Alvarez (67')
Alvarez (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 0-3 Chelsea
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 69.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 3-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawWest Ham United
69.73% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 16.85% (-0.052 -0.05) 13.42% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.88% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.57% (0.185 0.19)31.42% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.11% (0.216 0.22)52.89% (-0.216 -0.22)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.89% (0.064999999999998 0.06)8.11% (-0.065 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.52% (0.161 0.16)28.48% (-0.16 -0.16)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (0.077999999999996 0.08)35.92% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (0.081 0.08)72.7% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 69.73%
    West Ham United 13.42%
    Draw 16.85%
LiverpoolDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.88% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.95% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.83% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.49% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.43% (0.014 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.013 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.04% (0.011 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 69.73%
1-1 @ 7.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 2.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 16.85%
1-2 @ 3.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.53% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 13.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: AC Milan 1-3 Liverpool
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Liverpool
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Brentford
Sunday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ipswich 0-2 Liverpool
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 0-3 Chelsea
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-3 Man City
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-0 Bournemouth
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-2 West Ham
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 17 at 5.30pm in Premier League


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