SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 69.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 3-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | West Ham United |
69.73% ( 0.09) | 16.85% ( -0.05) | 13.42% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.88% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.57% ( 0.19) | 31.42% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.11% ( 0.22) | 52.89% ( -0.22) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.89% ( 0.06) | 8.11% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.52% ( 0.16) | 28.48% ( -0.16) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% ( 0.08) | 35.92% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.3% ( 0.08) | 72.7% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.7% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 69.73% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 16.85% | 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 13.42% |
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