SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Chelsea |
32.39% ( 0.21) | 22.76% ( 0.01) | 44.85% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 64.91% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.13% ( 0.05) | 35.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.04% ( 0.05) | 57.95% ( -0.05) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( 0.14) | 22.24% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.33% ( 0.21) | 55.67% ( -0.21) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.47% ( -0.06) | 16.53% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.72% ( -0.11) | 46.28% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 32.39% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 44.85% |
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