SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 79.03%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 7.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.55%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 2-1 (2.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Arsenal |
7.57% ( 0.18) | 13.41% ( 0.29) | 79.03% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.27% ( -0.75) | 32.73% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.59% ( -0.87) | 54.41% ( 0.88) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.25% ( -0.09) | 47.75% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.95% ( -0.07) | 83.05% ( 0.07) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.45% ( -0.24) | 6.55% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.6% ( -0.67) | 24.4% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.93% Total : 7.57% | 1-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.81% Total : 13.41% | 0-2 @ 11.61% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 10.55% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 7.8% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 7.19% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 5.32% ( -0.1)0-5 @ 3.92% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 2.9% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)0-6 @ 1.78% ( -0.08)1-6 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)2-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.58% Total : 79.01% |
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