SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Liverpool |
51.29% ( 1.49) | 21.71% ( -0.17) | 27% ( -1.33) |
| Both teams to score 65.09% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.91% ( -0.23) | 34.09% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.03% ( -0.26) | 55.96% ( 0.26) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.36% ( 0.39) | 13.63% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.2% ( 0.79) | 40.8% ( -0.79) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( -0.98) | 24.62% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.86% ( -1.4) | 59.13% ( 1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.07)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.91% Total : 51.29% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.62% Total : 27% |
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