SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.46%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Aston Villa |
23.33% ( -1.09) | 22.21% ( 0.48) | 54.46% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 59.15% ( -3.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.86% ( -3.46) | 40.14% ( 3.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.49% ( -3.67) | 62.51% ( 3.67) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -2.77) | 30.64% ( 2.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% ( -3.41) | 66.88% ( 3.41) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.28% ( -0.99) | 14.72% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.08% ( -1.93) | 42.92% ( 1.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield United | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.45)2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.34)3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.88% Total : 23.33% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.37)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.69)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 1.05)0-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.74)1-3 @ 6.25% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.38)1-4 @ 3% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.25)1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 54.46% |
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