SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 73.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 10.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Crystal Palace |
73.14% ( -1.45) | 16.05% ( 0.57) | 10.81% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 52.87% ( 1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.19% ( -0.06) | 34.82% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.22% ( -0.07) | 56.78% ( 0.07) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.78% ( -0.32) | 8.22% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.25% ( -0.82) | 28.76% ( 0.82) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.6% ( 1.61) | 42.4% ( -1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.22% ( 1.35) | 78.78% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.42)1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.36)4-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.06)6-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.96% Total : 73.13% | 1-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.23)0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.05% | 1-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.27% Total : 10.81% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
