We said: Southampton 1-1 Everton
This should be a cracking match between two sides with a lot of talent in the forward areas. Southampton were excellent at Old Trafford and should be full of confidence, but Everton are an improving team under Lampard, so we are backing the points to be shared in a low-scoring draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
